How to bet on Europe’s Elite Football Teams and Make Money.

How can you make a profit backing the elite teams in Europe…

PSG are already 21 points clear in their domestic league after 22 games.  Bayern Munich have won 10 of their last 11 and as for Spain well Barcelona are 10 out of 11 and Real Madrid, who have had a shocking season and recently replaced their manager, they are 9 out of 12.  These are probably the top four teams in Europe when you think about domestic domination.  Juventus are another one that you could include but they are currently second in Serie A and that league can be a bit more contested than others.

Make Money betting on football top teams

  • PSG have won the French league the last four years and that will become five this season.
  • Bayern Munich have been champions of the Budesliga the last four years and are currently eight points clear this season.
  • Real Madrid or Barcelona have won La Liga 9 out of the last 10 years the only team to break the sequence was Atletico Madrid in 2013-14.

So overall these sides are pretty formidable outfits in their own domestic leagues but when you look at just their home form that is even more incredible…

  • PSG have lost one of their last 48 home league games (not losing 97.92% of their home games)
  • Bayern Munich have lost three of their last 43 home league games (not losing 93.02% of their home games)
  • Barcelona have lost three of their last 49 home league games (not losing 93.88% of their home games)
  • Real Madrid have lost four of their last 49 home games (not losing 91.84% of their home games)

Bottom line, any side that can remain unbeaten for over 90% of their home games over the last three seasons are teams you can trust at home.

Of course none of this is news to many punters or unfortunately the bookmakers.  When you back these teams at home they are very short with the layers (for obvious reasons) BUT not only do these teams tend to win at home but they very often do it by a large margin and this is potentially where the edge lies.

Asian Handicapping may be a new way of betting for many people but basically, it is a way of not just backing a team to win but backing a team to win by more than a certain number of goals.

Let’s just look at the goals for and against this season when these four play at home…

Home Team Records
Home Team Played Goals For Goals Against For (Avg) Against (Avg) Margin (AVG)
PSG 10 34 7 3.40 0.70 2.70
Bayern Munich 9 32 3 3.56 0.33 3.22
Barcelona 11 38 7 3.45 0.64 2.82
Real Madrid 11 39 10 3.55 0.91 2.64

We can see from the table above that not only do these teams consistently win at home but they also do it in style.  All four averaging at least three goals per home game, however, taking just averages can help point us in the right direction but can also be misleading, as it’s possible that there may be heavy winning margins in just one or two games.

So let’s see how they would you have performed if you had backed these strong home teams on the Asian handicap (when the odds are greater than 1.85)  at home this season.  Please note I have included ALL home games not just league games and back stakes are £100…

Bayern Munich Home Games 2016
Date Comp Opponents Result AH Odds Outcome P&L
14.08.2015 Bundesliga SV Hamburg W5-0 -2.75 2.02 WIN £102.00
29.08.2015 Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen W3-0 -1.50 2.10 WIN £110.00
12.09.2015 Bundesliga Augsburg W2-1 -2.25 1.91 LOSS -£100.00
22.09.2015 Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg W5-1 -1.75 1.86 WIN £86.00
29.09.2015 Champs Lge Dinamo Zagreb W5-0 -2.25 1.88 WIN £88.00
04.10.2015 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund W5-1 -1.00 1.87 WIN £87.00
24.10.2015 Bundesliga FC Cologne W4-0 -2.25 1.88 WIN £88.00
04.11.2015 Champs Lge Arsenal W5-1 -1.50 2.05 WIN £105.00
07.11.2015 Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart W4-0 -2.75 1.97 WIN £97.00
29.09.2015 Champs Lge Olympiakos W4-0 -2.25 1.88 WIN £88.00
28.11.2015 Bundesliga Hertha BSC Berlin W2-0 -2.25 1.93 HALF LOSS -£50.00
12.12.2015 Bundesliga Ingolstadt W2-0 -2.25 1.87 HALF LOSS -£50.00
31.01.2016 Bundesliga TSG Hoffenheim
20.02.2016 Bundesliga Darmstadt 98
02.03.2016 Bundesliga Mainz
12.03.2016 Bundesliga Werder Bremen
02.04.2016 Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt
16.04.2016 Bundesliga Schalke 04
30.04.2016 Bundesliga Borussia Monch'bach
14.05.2016 Bundesliga Hannover 96
Totals AVG 1.94 Staked £1200 P&L £651

PSG Home Games 2016
Date Comp Opponents Result AH Odds Outcome P&L
16.08.2015 Ligue 1 Ajaccio W2-0 -2.00 1.92 Void £0.00
11.09.2015 Ligue 1 Bordeaux D2-2 -1.75 2.04 LOSS - £100.00
15.09.2015 Champs Lge Malmo W2-0 -2.25 1.88 HALF LOSS -£50.00
22.09.2015 Ligue 1 Guingamp W3-0 -2.00 1.98 WIN £98.00
04.10.2015 Ligue 1 Marseille W2-1 -1.50 1.90 LOSS -£100.00
15.09.2015 Champs Lge Real Madrid D0-0 -0.25 1.85 HALF LOSS -£50.00
25.10.2015 Ligue 1 Saint-Etienne W4-1 -1.50 1.99 WIN £99.00
07.11.2015 Ligue 1 Toulouse W5-0 -2.25 2.07 WIN £107.00
28.11.2015 Ligue 1 Troyes W4-1 -2.75 1.86 WIN £86.00
08.12.2016 Champs Lge Shakhtar W2-0 -1.00 1.99 WIN £99.00
13.12.2015 Ligue 1 Lyon W5-1 -1.75 1.94 WIN £94.00
16.12.2015 League Cup St Etienne W1-0 -2.25 1.92 LOSS -£100.00
08.01.2016 Ligue 1 Bastia W2-0 -2.50 2.03 LOSS -£100.00
16.12.2015 League Cup St Etienne W1-0 -2.25 1.92 LOSS -£100.00
27.01.2016 French Cup Toulouse W2-1 -1.75 2.02 LOSS -£100.00
23.01.2016 Ligue 1 Angers W5-1 -1.75 1.91 WIN £91.00
27.01.2016 League Cup Toulouse W2-0 -1.50 1.99 WIN £99.00
03.02.2016 Ligue 1 Lorient
13.02.2016 Ligue 1 Lille
20.02.2016 Ligue 1 Reims
05.03.2016 Ligue 1 Montpellier
19.03.2016 Ligue 1 Monaco
02.04.2016 Ligue 1 Nice
Totals AVG 1.95 Staked £1700 P&L £73

 

Barcelona Home Games 2016
Date Comp Opponents Result AH Odds Outcome P&L
29.08.2015 La Liga Malaga W1-0 -2.50 1.93 LOSS -£100.00
20.09.2015 La Liga Levante W4-1 -2.75 1.91 WIN £91.00
26.09.2015 La Liga Las Palmas W2-1 -3.00 1.95 LOSS -£100.00
29.09.2015 Champs Lge Bayer Leverkusen W2-1 -1.25 2.00 HALF LOSS -£50.00
17.10.2015 La Liga Rayo Vallecano W5-2 -2.75 2.03 WIN £103.00
25.10.2015 La Liga Eibar W3-1 -2.50 2.00 LOSS -£100.00
04.11.2015 Champs Lge BATE Borisov W3-0 -2.75 1.99 WIN £99.00
08.11.2015 La Liga Villarreal W3-0 -1.50 1.88 WIN £88.00
24.11.2015 Champs Lge Roma W6-1 -2.00 2.03 WIN £103.00
28.11.2015 La Liga Real Sociedad W4-0 -3.00 1.97 WIN £97.00
02.12.2015 Copa Del Rey Villanovense W6-2 -3.25 1.88 WIN £88.00
12.12.2015 La Liga Deportivo La Coruna D2-2 -3.00 1.97 LOSS -£100.00
30.12.2015 La Liga Real Betis W4-0 -3.25 1.85 WIN £85.00
09.01.2016 La Liga Granada W4-0 -3.5 2.02 WIN £102.00
17.01.2016 La Liga Athletic Bilbao W6-0 -2.25 2.05 WIN £105.00
27.01.2016 Copa Del Rey Athletic Bilbao W3-1 -1.75 1.88 HALF WIN £44.00
30.01.2016 La Liga Atletico Madrid
13.02.2016 La Liga Celta Vigo
28.02.2016 La Liga Seville
13.03.2016 La Liga Getafe
03.04.2016 La Liga Real Madrid
17.04.2016 La Liga Valencia
24.04.2016 La Liga Sporting Gijon
08.05.2016 La Liga Espanyol
Totals AVG 1.96 Staked £1600 P&L £555

 

Real Madrid Home Games 2016
Date Comp Opponents Result AH Odds Outcome P&L
29.08.2015 La Liga Real Betis W5-0 -2.75 1.86 WIN £86.00
15.09.2015 Champs Lge Shakhtar Donetsk W4-0 -2.00 1.97 WIN £97.00
19.09.2015 La Liga Granada W1-0 -2.75 1.88 LOSS -£100.00
26.09.2015 La Liga Malaga D0-0 -2.50 1.95 LOSS -£100.00
17.10.2015 La Liga Levante W3-0 -2.50 1.92 WIN £92.00
31.10.2015 La Liga Las Palmas W3-1 -2.50 1.86 LOSS -£100.00
03.11.2015 Champs Lge Paris Saint-Germain W1-0 -0.50 1.86 WIN £86.00
21.11.2015 La Liga Barcelona L0-4 -0.25 2.13 LOSS -£100.00
05.12.2015 La Liga Getafe W4-1 -2.75 2.03 WIN £103.00
08.12.2015 Champs Lge Malmo W8-0 -3.00 2.00 WIN £100.00
20.12.2015 La Liga Rayo Vallecano W10-2 -3.00 1.86 WIN £86.00
30.12.2015 La Liga Real Sociedad W3-1 -2.00 1.87 VOID £0.00
09.01.2016 La Liga Deportivo La Coruna W5-0 -2.25 1.99 WIN £99.00
17.01.2016 La Liga Sporting Gijon W5-1 -3.00 2.10 WIN £110.00
31.01.2016 La Liga Espanyol
13.02.2016 La Liga Athletic Bilbao
28.02.2016 La Liga Atletico Madrid
06.03.2016 La Liga Celta Vigo
20.03.2016 La Liga Seville
10.04.2016 La Liga Eibar
20.04.2016 La Liga Villarreal
08.05.2016 La Liga Valencia
Totals AVG 1.95 Staked £1400 P&L £459

All four elite teams show a profitable return on investment just backing them blindly at home against the handicap.  However, I am sure with a bit more detailed analysis and research that profit could be increased even further.  An important fact to note is that leagues will be won early and with all four still in the Champions League, key players will be rested as domestic games become less important.  

I will continue to update the results for the four teams as they progress through the season  and draw some conclusions but as the big teams just get bigger and stronger it looks like it could yield some profits for many years to come.  

Typically best odds can be found at the following bookmakers:
William Hill – Bet365 – Coral and Betfair (Sportsbook).

Let us know how you get on by commenting below or on our Twitter Account

Leave a Comment